Jo Gi-suk: Are Korean elections predictable?
From the scientific election predictive model to the overall election forecast of the year 220, early-sooking and sharp election analysis are compiled. There are still doubts about whether political science can be a science, but there are few areas in which we can explain and predict and then make a strategy to win as much as the election does. The most advanced fields of mathematics and statistical methodology in our academic world, of course, are by far election studies. But when the election is over, we always turn the back on our expectations and say that one party won. If academically acquired theories don't apply to the real world, then if you can't use them to explain the results of elections and predict and change the world, it's just dead. The quality of election theory is measured by how accurately you predict the results. This is a book that has been devoted to election research for many years and has been compiled by early-sooking professors, along with a model of election forecasts that they have been working on to make more accurate election predictions. The author's election predictive model continued to develop with further and more empirical research on elections based on a rational voters' assumption based on the combination of political re-constitution theory. Using a new ‘particularity ’ element, the ‘ party support ’ that has evolved there, the main component of the election predictive model: the election Gudo, the person, the election strategy, and the sophisticated development of the elements added to it.
Korean title: 한국 선거 예측가능한가
Korean author: 조기숙
Korean publisher: 이화여자대학교출판문화원
ISBN-13: 9791158903572












